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Sunday, November 09, 2003

Demographic scare tactics?

From Arutz Sheva
Hatikvah Educational Foundation, in a full-page newspaper ad in Maariv (Hebrew only), notes the following:

*In 1900, the leading Jewish historian and demographer, Dubnov, cautioned Herzl against the establishment of a Jewish State: "By the year 2000 there will be only 500,000 Jews in the land of Israel."

In 2000 there were 5 million Jews in Israel.

*In 1948, Israel's Chief Statistician, Prof. Bakki, lobbied Prime Minister Ben-Gurion to postpone the establishment of the Jewish State: "By 1968 there will be an Arab majority in Israel (Green Line)."

In 1968 there was a 17% Arab minority.

*In 1967, Prime Minister Eshkol was pressured to give away Gaza, Judea & Samaria: "By 1987 there will be an Arab majority west of the Jordan River."

In 1987 there was a 37% Arab minority west of the Jordan River.

Hatikvah says that similar "demographic scare tactics" are being used today to convince the public of the necessity of a Palestinian state in Judea, Samaria and Gaza. The numbers ignore important factors, the ad states, which would paint a more encouraging picture - such as the artificial inflation of Arab population statistics and the deflation of the Jewish birth rate. The ad also notes that in 1967, the Arab birth rate was three times that of the Jewish birth rate, while it currently is only twice that.

Arutz-7's Haggai Huberman confirmed the essentials of a recent report in Yediot Acharonot (Hebrew only), to the effect that some 150,000 Arabs have left Judea and Samaria in the past three years.
The [next] question is, where did they go?