< link rel="DCTERMS.isreplacedby" href="http://bokertov.typepad.com/ btb/" >

Wednesday, April 28, 2004

DEBKA Analysis: Al Qaeda Terror Ring Draws Closer to Israel

"The threat of non-conventional warfare hangs more palpably over the Middle East now than ever before"

Yes, DEBKA reads like a spy novel, but the thinking is outside the box to which we are accustomed, and there is lots of good information here. Recommended.
April 28, 2004

The partial reports filtering out of Damascus indicate that the large-scale terrorist attack carried out Tuesday night, April 27, in the al Maza diplomatic quarter of the Syrian capital - a simultaneous car bomb, machine gun, grenade, rocket assault on several targets that set UN offices on fire and singled out the Canadian embassy - has brought the encroaching global terror warfront dangerously close to Israel.

Earlier on the same day, the new Saudi network leader, Abdulaziz al-Muqrin, on a newly-released audio tape threatened fiercer than ever attacks this year against "the Jews, the Americans and the Crusaders." He promised that Saudi Arabia would not be able to protect US interests. But "the Jews" topped his list of targets.

The Damascus assault by mixed bombing-shooting teams recalls al Qaeda's pattern of attack in most of the strikes it has carried out in the Saudi capital of Riyadh since May 2003. If al Qaeda was indeed behind the Damascus raid, its Tehran-based commanders are clearly in the process of further stretching their warfront across the Middle East into a fresh theatre, adding Syria to its bases of operations. While the Americans focus on their war against insurgents in Iraq and the Israelis are caught up in fighting Palestinian terrorists, al Qaeda is drawing a ring of fire around both.

Monday night, April 26, Jordanian TV aired the confessions of captured al Qaeda-linked terrorists, including Syrians, saying they had planned a chemical attack on Jordanian intelligence and US embassy in Amman. Jordanian security reported trucks seized with 20 tons of toxic chemicals that could have killed 80,000.

DEBKAfile reported earlier this month, that this attack was directed equally against targets in Amman and the Adam Bridge gateway from Jordan into Israel.

Al Qaeda's order of action this month shows a certain logic in terrorist terms:
first, the chemical weapons attack that was foiled by Jordan,

followed by the bombing of Saudi General Intelligence headquarters that wrecked the kingdom's counter-terror nerve center in Riyadh,

then the homicidal speedboat bombers that aimed to sever Iraq's main oil exporting route at Basra offshore terminal and,

three days later, the attack on foreign missions in Damascus, including UN offices and the Canadian embassy.
The sound of these blasts was still reverberating around the Syrian capital Tuesday night, when Lakhdar Brahimi, the UN secretary's special envoy to Iraq, stood before the UN Security Council in New York and emphasized the importance of sticking to the June 30 handover deadline in Iraq. Brahimi is determined to get a caretaker government up and running in Baghdad before that date; Al Qaeda and Iraqi insurgents are equally bent on frustrating his effort.

The Damascus attack alarms in Israel on two scores:
1. The ease with which al Qaeda's cells and killers pass through borders and move across the Middle East at will, striking from operations centers uncomfortably close to Israel's borders in Iraq, Iran, Jordan, Saudi Arabia and Syria.

2. It is feared that they will next attempt to infiltrate Israel from several directions at once.
The following passage from an article published by DEBKA-Net-Weekly 153 sheds new light on al Qaeda's current mode of operation:

Al Qaeda's new methods were exposed by two earlier events this month - a suicide bombing that destroyed the heavily secured, seven-floor Saudi General Security headquarters on Riyadh's al-Washm Street on Wednesday, April 21, and the raid a day earlier by Jordanian security forces on a villa in Amman's affluent Upper Hashami neighborhood. In the second event, the Jordanian squad made two astonishing discoveries. One was that they had seized a section of a terrorist ring bent on a chemical weapons attack. The other was the first Iraqi cell known to be working for al Qaeda.

The threat of non-conventional warfare hangs more palpably over the Middle East now than ever before. So too does the very real menace to the royal houses of Saudi Arabia and Jordan. It is now clear that al Qaeda or its surrogates have infiltrated Saudi and Jordanian intelligence and counter-terror agencies to a degree that imperils the two thrones.

Read it all - DEBKA's strength is in the detail:
. . . The grave breach discovered in his capital and his security and intelligence services was the real reason why King Abdullah called off his trip to Washington at the last minute, rather than affront at what his spokesmen claimed was President George W. Bush's retraction of the Middle East "road map."